Going into this weekend, only four points separate 3rd and 11th in the Premiership, with both Falkirk and Motherwell sitting in this group of teams.
Falkirk come into this game knowing that their first win in four matches would move them above their opponents in the table.
Motherwell’s Form Guide
Using the Motherwell vs Falkirk Match Stats on Andy’s Bet Club, we can see that Motherwell were unbeaten in the league this season until their narrow loss to Celtic in their last match. However, all but one of their previous league games ended in a draw.
- 3–2 Loss vs Celtic (A) – Premiership
- 2–0 Win vs Aberdeen (H) – Premiership
- 0–1 Win vs Aberdeen (A) – League Cup
- 1–1 Draw vs Dundee FC (A) – Premiership
- 2–2 Draw vs Kilmarnock (H) – Premiership
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Motherwell’s Recent League Matches:
Celtic vs Motherwell
Although Motherwell lost this game, they performed well in several key metrics. They were very efficient in front of goal, scoring two goals from just five shots and generating 1.4xG, an impressive 0.28xG per shot.
They achieved this by keeping their attempts close to goal, with only one shot from outside the box and an average shooting distance of 13.2 metres, compared to 17.4 for Celtic.
Both teams committed a high number of fouls, which led to a penalty being awarded and scored by each side.
Despite having less possession, Motherwell defended well, making 50 interceptions to Celtic’s 28 and winning 65% of their ground defensive duels, compared to 54% for Celtic.
Motherwell vs Aberdeen
Similar to their game against Celtic, Motherwell were again clinical in front of goal, producing an xG per shot of 0.18. They continued their trend of taking shots from close range, with only two of their efforts coming from outside the box, compared to five from Aberdeen.
In contrast to the Celtic match, Motherwell dominated possession and made it count. Their passing accuracy was exceptionally high at 90%, helping them create several high-quality chances. They completed 51 accurate passes into the final third compared to 32 for Aberdeen, and 74 accurate progressive passes compared to 53.
Defensively, they were solid, winning 57% of defensive duels compared to 54% for Aberdeen, and 52% of aerial duels compared to 48% for Aberdeen.
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Motherwell’s One to Watch:
Elliot Watt: The defensive midfielder has started every match this season and plays a key role in linking defence and attack.
He averages an 88% pass accuracy, seven accurate long passes, and 1.5 chances created per match. Defensively, he contributes 1.8 interceptions and 7.8 recoveries per game.
Final Thoughts:
Motherwell are likely to continue their recent trend of shooting from close range, averaging 3.1 shots from outside the box compared to the five that Falkirk’s opponents have faced on average this season.
They are less likely to pose a major threat from corners, averaging 3.5 per match compared to five for Falkirk’s typical opponents, and only 32% of their corners result in a shot, compared to 37% for Falkirk’s opposition.
In possession, Motherwell are expected to be more accurate than Falkirk’s previous opponents, with an overall pass accuracy of 86% compared to 78%. The biggest differences are in forward passes, where they complete 76% compared to 67%, and progressive passes, where they complete 72% compared to 68%.
Defensively, Motherwell tend to make more interceptions but fewer clearances than Falkirk’s usual opponents, suggesting they prefer to press and win the ball higher up the pitch. This is also reflected in the high average pass accuracy of Motherwell’s opponents at 82%, showing they often face teams that try to play through pressure, rather than go long.
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